Euro Chat with Joe Ross
Chat log from: Thursday, April 26, 2007
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| marsh | Hey, Mikhail |
| mikhail | Do you trade today? |
| marsh | A little, but the indexes are not very volatile |
| mikhail | I made a very nice trade in ER2 today |
| marsh | Yeah, in the first hour, there were some good ones |
| mikhail | But it was mainly b/ac I am starting to slowly incorporate Market profile stuff into my trading... |
| marsh | I'm glad you found some value there |
| mikhail | I bought ER 1 pt. away from it's low for the day |
| mikhail | Took out 2 pt. on 1/2 of the position and 3 on the rest |
| marsh | Good deal |
| mikhail | I am happy, cause I usually don't have the patience to hold on in the ER for too long |
| marsh | Is there usually a good turnout for this chat? |
| mikhail | So, so |
| mikhail | I haven't been here in a while |
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| crosten | Any day traders here |
| mikhail | Guilty as charged |
| mikhail | :) |
| mikhail | ??? |
| mikhail | Why ask? |
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| marsh | Hi Joe |
| mikhail | JOE! :) |
| joeross | Hi All |
| joeross | Anything going on? |
| crosten | Joe is it necessary to have a degree like you have to be a good trader? |
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| ronnie | Guten Tag Joe! |
| mikhail | Degree? |
| joeross | crosten: You don't need any degree to be a good trader. |
| joeross | Guten Tag, ronnie |
| mikhail | A Masters in fortune telling can't hurt |
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| ronnie | Joe, going back to what I asked you yesterday, about prices being more likely to go where they've been before |
| joeross | Hi nathan |
| nathan | Hi everyone |
| nathan | Hi Mr. Sumo |
| joeross | Let's go back, ronnie |
| crosten | Joe I am sure you have met many traders, what personality traits do these traders have? |
| mikhail | "Balls" |
| ronnie | I noticed on the trading matrix that whatever price has had the most volume became almost like a magnet for the rest of the day |
| mikhail | :) |
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joeross
|
crosten: I have no idea. Many have tried to identify what it is that makes for a successful trader. To the best of my knowledge, no one has ever figured it out. |
| sav | Hi everyone |
| joeross | ronnie: That is a good observation |
| mikhail | You must have a genuine drive and passion for trading |
| joeross | crosten: I mean I don't know |
| joeross | Hi sav |
| mikhail | What's a "trading matrix"? |
| ronnie | In tradestation, its like a spreadsheet that you can trade off |
| ronnie | It shows prices and how much volume each price has had |
| mikhail | Shows volume at each price level? |
| mikhail | Ah |
| mikhail | meta-profile |
| crosten | Joe you said that discipline is very important, but what can I practice to discipline myself? |
| joeross | Mikhail: It is like the market profile owned by the CBOT |
| joeross | And invented by Pete Steidlmayer |
| mikhail | Yes, it's called meta-profile |
| mikhail | Which is market-profile in real time |
| ronnie | I've been using it more and more to determine the general area the market wants to be at |
| joeross | crosten: You could try marshall arts |
| mikhail | Ronnie, that's true on a normal non-trending day |
| ronnie | Right |
| mikhail | Ronnie, have you read "mind over market"? |
| ronnie | And on trends just buy or sell corrections |
| ronnie | No, I haven't read it. |
| mikhail | Take a look |
| mikhail | It's exactly what you are talking about |
| joeross | crosten: You can go on our website and purchase "The Trading Mind" |
| ronnie | Checking it right now |
| mikhail | Joe, what % of the time do markets trend? |
crosten
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Are you serious Joe? I mean to discipline oneself when trading? Can you give me some tips? I have read your book but you did not mention how to develop discipline. |
| joeross | mikhail: It is said they trend 15% of the time. I don't know how they prove that. |
| joeross | crosten: Yes I did show you how to keep discipline: Keep the Life Index. |
| ronnie | crosten, when I was in the military, they said there are just 4 types of discipline: refraining from food, sleep, %%%, and controlling pain... |
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| joeross | Hi Susan, Estraros |
| estaros | Hi |
| ronnie | Don't markets trend almost 80 % of the time on tick charts |
| SusanL | Hi Joe :) |
| crosten | The life index is about happiness. Can you please give me some tips on how to discipline oneself? please |
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| joeross | crosten: You do not understand the Life Index if you think it is about happiness. |
| nathan | Do you think foreign governments want to strengthen the dollar a bit? |
| joeross | crosten: Why don't you try to discipline yourself to really use and understand the Life Index? |
| mikhail | Crosten: start each day w/ a bucket of ice cold water first thing in the morning |
| mikhail | :) |
| crosten | Please Joe, some tips? |
| ronnie | Go running at 4 in the morning crosten |
| joeross | nathan: I think foreign governments don't know what to do about the dollar. |
| mikhail | Trust me, it works like magic |
| nathan | Why? |
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| joeross | crosten: Read Marc Douglas' book "The Disciplined Trader" |
| Stefanm | Hello |
| Stefanm | Hello from Spain |
| joeross | Hola Stefan |
| Stefanm | Como estamos |
| ronnie | Buenos dias |
| Stefanm | Buenas |
crosten
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Joe: I have this problem, you mention that you either take profits quickly or slowly, I have no problem taking profits quickly, but taking profits slowly is a big problem for me. |
| mikhail | Engles por favor |
| mikhail | :) |
| RicketyTin | Hasta La Vista Babe |
| nathan | Why don´t they know what to do with the dollar? |
| joeross | crosten: You can solve your problem easily. Take profits quickly. |
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| ronnie | Anyone see that trick entry short developing on the er2? |
| murra | Hi Joe and all |
| Stefanm | Yes i know the chat is in english but maybe there are some people who have questions |
| crosten | I am always very uncomfortable in taking profits slowly? |
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| sav | There was a good Rh on the 5min chart on er2 this morning (or afternoon in europe) |
| Stefanm | Si alguien tiene una pregunta me la pone a mi y supongo Joe contesta con mucho gusto |
| crosten | How do you take profits slowly, I am always worrying about taking profits slowly? |
joeross
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nathan: Because they have a tiger by the tail with regards to the U.S. If they dump the dollar, they lose their collective rear ends as the dollar goes down. But if they support the dollar by buying U.S. debt, or holding more dollars they are just adding to the pile of paper they have that is diminishing in value. They don't know whether to hang on or let go. |
| joeross | Hi murra |
| joeross | crosten: Quit worrying and just take profits quickly. |
| sav | crosten: If you are trading multiple lots when in profit take the first one quickly than leave the rest to run or take them out slowly |
| Stefanm | Joe how do you see the gold market? |
| sav | Joe is gold liquid enough for daytrading? |
crosten
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Joe, the thing is, I have to develop a method whereby it requires me to take profit slowly, but it drives me mad to take profits slowly, what can I do Joe? |
| joeross | Stefan: I see it rising over the long term but very bumpy ride with many corrections |
| joeross | sav: Lately it is liquid enough |
| Stefanm | You can trade the ZG at CBOT |
| joeross | crosten: Abandon any method that is not comfortable for you. Get rid of it! |
| Stefanm | Also the have live option trading |
| joeross | Stefan: Yes you can trade Gold at the CBOT |
| joeross | CBOT is now the preferred place to trade gold, in my opinion. |
| Stefanm | The only drawback in the option market is that at this time you can't make spreads in options |
| Stefanm | Yes |
| crosten | Thanks Joe, but Joe the method does make money? Will you still trade a method that makes money even though it makes you uncomfortable? |
| Stefanm | Because when I buy options I make it pit traded at Comex because of the spread possibility |
| Stefanm | Long put, short call |
| joeross | crosten: I will not trade anything that makes me uncomfortable. |
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| joeross | Hi Lutrade |
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| joeross | Hi colbru |
| Lutrade69 | Hi everybody |
| Stefanm | Hello |
| colbru | Hello my first visit |
| crosten | Will you consider an 80% probability method even though it makes you uncomfortable Joe? |
| joeross | crosten: I will not trade any method that makes me uncomfortable. |
| crosten | Thks joe |
| colbru | I've come here because I've heard that Joe is going to talk about an 80% win rate in Munich |
| joeross | colbru, don't make this your last visit, but I will be in Europe throughout May and the next chat will be May 31. |
| marsh | crosten: What is the drawdown of your 80% method? |
| colbru | I don't know yet if I want to join the seminar there |
| crosten | Joe regarding your Sushi method, I don't get it , it has a 53% win, but you are still selling it, why Joe ? |
| colbru | I live close to Munich |
| joeross | colbru: I will be showing some good stuff in Munich. You will be welcome if you decide to come. |
| Stefanm | so we gonna see us in Munich |
| colbru | Joe I'd like to make my living in trading.... what is my required capital to make on average 5000$ |
joeross
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crosten: Because the method makes money, that's why, crosten. You have an entirely wrong idea about methods. It is not the winning percentage that is important, it is the profit amount that really has meaning. If it makes money, I don't care if it wins only 25% of the time. |
| colbru | 5000$ per month |
| joeross | colbru: There is no way for me to tell. It depends on what you trade and how well you trade it. |
| crosten | Joe: What food is recommend for traders, do you eat while trading? |
| Stefanm | Spread trading would be the best or not? |
| Stefanm | For small accounts |
| joeross | crosten: I eat sometimes when I am trading, but not usually |
| joeross | Stefan: Spread trading is very good for small accounts. Spread require very low margin and very little time to trade. |
| mikhail | Colbru: this is just my thing, trade 1 contract per each $10K, and try to make around $500-1000/month of off each contract... |
| crosten | Recommended trader food? |
colbru
|
Lets assume I come to your seminar and then practice for a couple of months what you teach and then start trading forex or whatever you think is best with a capital of 100'000$ would it be possible? |
| joeross | crosten: Sashimi ;) |
| sav | Joe, out of your students who does the best, position traders, daytraders or spread traders? |
| crosten | hehe |
| sav | Or a combination of everything |
| joeross | sav: So far the edge goes to the spread traders. |
| Stefanm | Or option traders? |
| mikhail | Colbru, I don't know about all the other stuff, but yes there is no reason why a good trader should not make 3-5%/month on equity |
| joeross | Stefan: Option traders also do very well if they follow the way we indicate they should trade. |
| Stefanm | Alan Parry |
| crosten | For the corn and wheat market only , how many minutes will pass after the market open before you start trading Joe? |
| joeross | Stefan: Alan wins 75% of his trades. He is very consistent |
| joeross | crosten: I trade corn and wheat on the Open |
| joeross | I do not wait in those two markets |
| Stefanm | Yes i know but unfortunately most of the traders don't know option trading |
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| zak2007 | Hi Joe and all |
| joeross | Hi zak and Hi Trader-A |
| Stefanm | Hi |
| sav | I'm one of them |
| colbru | Joe what is your answer to my question? please |
| crosten | Is there a particular reason, Joe when compared to other markets where you wait? |
| zak2007 | Joe do you still daytrade emini-sp500 with the method shown in "DAYTRADING"? |
| joeross | colbru: Yes! with $100k it would be possible. If you do it well, you will make even more. |
| colbru | And can you teach me that in that seminar |
| mikhail | lol |
| mikhail | :) |
| joeross | zak: Sometimes I trade that way, but only if the e-mini snp is the best market to trade. Right now it isn't as good as the bonds. |
| joeross | colbru: Yes, you will learn how to do it. |
| nathan | Hi zak, are you trading overseas now? |
| joeross | crosten: The grains generally open with a bang. I trade the bang! :) |
| Stefanm | If you can't learn from Joe there is no other who can show it to you |
| crosten | Joe how much money do you need to start trading options? |
| zak2007 | Hi nathan. I trade eurostoxx |
| joeross | crosten: As much money as you can get. |
| colbru | mmhhh... and how big are the expected max drawdowns |
| crosten | I mean what what is the minimum to get started to trade options? |
| joeross | colbru: I can't give you that information here. I would have to look it up and there is not enough time. |
| zak2007 | Joe, I have downloaded the 12 steps from AA to solve emotional problems. it's a hard thing to do! |
| joeross | Hold on colbru and I will try to get it for you up-to-date |
| joeross | Ok: Maximum closed out drawdown is: $5,156. Maximum Intraday drawdown is $5,219 |
| joeross | crosten: You need at least $5k |
| colbru | Joe: but you will have some rough idea if it will be 30% or 20% or 10% if I'm always risking 1% of capital per trade |
| joeross | zaK: Self-control is always difficult |
| crosten | Joe on average how many trades does the profit popper generate on a monthly basis? |
| zak2007 | But self-control is the only way to success |
| joeross | colbru: I just gave you exact up-to-date figures. |
| colbru | Joe: Your number calculated from 100k capital |
| joeross | colbru: The numbers I gave are what you would actually experience regardless of your account size |
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| joeross | Colbru: If you are only willing to risk 1% of Capital, then you cannot trade the method I will be showing at the seminar |
| joeross | Hi quester |
| quester123 | hello Joe and all |
| Stefanm | hello |
| joeross | I cannot understand why people lock themselves into a percent of capital risk when they should let the market tell them how much to risk |
| colbru | Joe you mean on a good looking entry you risk more? |
| joeross | In all the time I have traded the method I will teach, I have never once had that much of a drawdown. In fact, never even half of that amount |
| crosten | Joe on average how many trades does the profit popper generate on a monthly basis? |
| joeross | colbru: I mean if you trade the way I will show you, you will never have a huge drawdown. |
| colbru | mmhh sounds amazing |
| joeross | crosten: I don't know off-hand, and I can't look it up now. |
| quester123 | Joe how far is your wife away from finishing to proofread "trading is a business" now - weeks maybe? |
| joeross | The problem with most traders is they try to trade mathematically and that is not the way I do it. |
| colbru | Joe are you familiar with drummond geometry? |
| joeross | colbru: I never risk more. I risk less. |
| joeross | colbur: I don't care about anything that has to do with Mathematics |
| Stefanm | Trade Execution and risk management |
| joeross | I don't know what drummond geometry is and I don't care what it is. If you will learn to trade the way I do, you won't care about it either. |
| colbru | But Joe you have to use some money management and that always means mathematics |
| joeross | quester: Trading is a Business (revised/updated) is now at the printer. It will be ready as soon as they print it. |
| crosten | Joe, I met this trader who told me that the hardest part about trading, is finding a reason not to trade? are these wise words Joe? |
| joeross | colbru: You have a lot to learn. You better come to the seminar |
| joeross | crosten: They are wise words for some but not all. |
| crosten | Joe, how many methods will you teach at the seminar? And can you automate the methods? |
murra
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I can reinforce Joe about his teaching at the seminar and in his book. After studying you look at markets in a different way but the best is you know every time which decision to take and the best is you go out from the wrong trades immediately |
joeross
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crosten: I will teach whatever I teach. I will teach at least one method but usually more. It depends on the audience. If they can figure out a way to automate it, that is up to them. I don't automate anything. |
| colbru | Joe you're saying money management involves no mathematics? |
| joeross | colbru: I'm saying money management is a very small part of what I do. My emphasis is on trade management. |
| sav | Joe, are your methods based on the law of charts? |
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| joeross | If you do proper trade management, you can relegate money management to a very tiny factor in your trading |
| joeross | Hi Joao |
| joaohgomes | Hi all, good evening from Brazil... |
| joaohgomes | Hi Mr. Ross. |
crosten |
Joe, i know that you have tons of methods, is it true that the best methods is a method whereby you need a human to be there to trade the method? |
| joeross | sav: Everything I do is based on the Law of Charts and the many way to implement that law |
| joaohgomes | Hi Susan |
| joaohgomes | JH from Brazil... |
joeross
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All: Please do not try to compare the way I trade with anything you ever learned from all the rotten books you have read and all the phony seminars you have attended. Virtually all that stuff is offered by guys who never traded or guys who failed at trading. |
crosten
|
Joe what is the probability of trading Ross hook? and what time frame is good for trading Ross hook to achieve high probability -- higher time frame or smaller time frame? |
| joeross | crosten: I prefer human intervention in any method. |
| ronnie | 1 winner, 1 loser today... go for one more today Joe? |
| joeross | crosten: There is no answer for your question. |
| crosten | Why is that so Joe? |
| joeross | crosten: It depends on who is trading the RH |
| joeross | If I trade an RH, I win 80% of the time. I don't know about you. |
| joaohgomes | Mr. Ross, the other night you said you don't believe in risking a fix % of your account. Can you talk more about it? |
| crosten | Is trading the ross hook more than 70% from your experience Joe? |
| joeross | joao: Yes I can talk more about it, but not in the next 3 minutes |
| joaohgomes | hahaha |
| joaohgomes | ok... sorry. |
joeross
|
I can say only this much. Let the market tell you how much to risk. Do not setup some crazy amount that you pulled out of your head or from some mathematical calculation. |
| crosten | Joe you win 80% trading ross hook which market is that? |
| joaohgomes | ok.. tks. Now I got your point. |
joeross
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crosten: The percent I win is not related to a market or time frame. It is related only to the way I manage my trades. As I already told you, winning percentage has no meaning. What counts is whether or not you are making money from your trading. |
joeross
|
Earlier colbru asked about 1%. Why? Where does such a silly number come from? The method I teach at the seminar shows a computer generated drawdown of over $5,000. But I have never had even a $1,000 drawdown trading the method. Why? Because I let the market show me where to put my stop. |
| crosten | What time frame did you trade in this market where you achieve 80% prob? |
| joeross | crosten: Any and all markets |
| nathan | Thanks Joe and bye |
| colbru | Joe if I buy your Ross Hook book a can have a hit rate of 80%? |
| joeross | If I trade an Rh. I will win with it 80% of the time, regardless of market or time frame |
| joaohgomes | I see Mr. Ross. |
murra
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When we trade a market we must know how many we need for that market and this is an important question for the trade diversely we can't take the trade as like I would a ferrari but i don't have the money is it right Joe? |
| joeross | colbru: I cannot guarantee you will win anything if you buy my Ross Hook book. |
| joeross | murra: You are right. Yes. You learned well at the seminar. |
| murra | The stop must be right for every trade if not we can lose is better not entry is not in accordance with our parameters |
| joaohgomes | Yeap... give two people the same system, they don't get the same results |
colbru
|
How much you win in that 80% 100$ per trade and in the loosing 20% trades you lose 800$ per trade ??? you understand what i mean anyone can have a 80% win rate |
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| joaohgomes | One, can make money, while the other lose money. |
| joeross | colbru: That is correct. The bottom line is whether or not you make money. |
joeross
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colbru: If you want some kind of guarantee about trading you should buy an insurance policy. Anyone who has to have a guarantee has no business trading. |
| colbru | I'm not asking about a guarantee I'm only saying that a win rate means nothing |
| murra | colbru: it depends how you are willing to learn and in this you must include respect for the rule (excuse me Joe? |
joeross
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colbru: You are absolutely right. A win rate means nothing. The only thing that counts is are you making money. If you know that, why do you keep asking me if you will win 80% of the time? |
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| quester123 | Joe when placing limit orders and the market trades at that price but not through it. Is it the first come first served? |
| joeross | All: If you come to see us in Ravenna, Italy or in Munich, Germany, I am happy to meet you there. |
| joeross | Next euro chat will be Thursday, May 31. |
| zak2007 | Bye joe and all |
| joeross | quester: It is first in -- first out, by size |
| murra | See you Joe and all |
| joeross | quester: The bigger you are the more likely to be filled at the limit |
| crosten | Joe I have a method whereby if the method loses 2 time in a row, it usually wins the 3 rd time, is it wise to trade more the 3rd time ? |
| joeross | joao: Ask your question in the forum where I will have time to answer it. |
| joeross | The one about risk % |
| crosten | ...I mean increase lot size? |
| joaohgomes | Ok, Mr Ross. |
| SusanL | Hey Joah, I didn't get to say hi yet |
| joeross | crosten; If you are comfortable using a Monte Carlo method it's ok. But I'm not sure you will like it |
| SusanL | Hope you are doing fine over there in Brazil |
| joeross | crosten: what if you lose 11 times in a row? |
| joaohgomes | yeap... I'm fine here in Brazil. |
| joaohgomes | thks |
| joeross | Bye all. I am going out to work in my garden. |
| quester123 | Ah thanks Joe is there any way to increase the odds of getting filled even though the price only trades at the order? |
| murra | good night all |
| joeross | quester: There is a company that says they can get you filled more often at the limit. I will try to research who they are. |
| joeross | I have to plant my peas and zucchini and cucumbers |
| joeross | See you on 31 May. |
| crosten | It will kill me Joe, but so far i have never lost 11 time in a row |
| marsh | bye Joe, thanks. I hope you have a good trip. |
| joaohgomes | Nice therapy Mr. Ross |
| joaohgomes | bye to you all... |
| RicketyTin | Bye Joe - good gardening! |
| joaohgomes | Susan, bye. |
| joeross | Ciao, Tschüß, Hasta Luego, |
END OF CHAT
Next Chat with
Joe Ross:
Thursday, May 31 , 2007
Time: 8:00 - 9:00 P.M., European Central Time (Berlin, Paris, Rome)
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