Euro Chat with Joe Ross

Chat log from: Thursday, April 26, 2007
RicketyTin joined.
marsh joined.
mikhail joined.
marsh Hey, Mikhail
mikhail Do you trade today?
marsh A little, but the indexes are not very volatile
mikhail I made a very nice trade in ER2 today
marsh Yeah, in the first hour, there were some good ones
mikhail But it was mainly b/ac I am starting to slowly incorporate Market profile stuff into my trading...
marsh I'm glad you found some value there
mikhail I bought ER 1 pt. away from it's low for the day
mikhail Took out 2 pt. on 1/2 of the position and 3 on the rest
marsh Good deal
mikhail I am happy, cause I usually don't have the patience to hold on in the ER for too long
marsh Is there usually a good turnout for this chat?
mikhail So, so
mikhail I haven't been here in a while
shlomi joined.
crosten joined.
crosten Any day traders here
mikhail Guilty as charged
mikhail :)
mikhail ???
mikhail Why ask?
joeross joined.
marsh Hi Joe
mikhail JOE! :)
joeross Hi All
joeross Anything going on?
crosten Joe is it necessary to have a degree like you have to be a good trader?
ronnie joined.
ronnie Guten Tag Joe!
mikhail Degree?
joeross crosten: You don't need any degree to be a good trader.
joeross Guten Tag, ronnie
mikhail A Masters in fortune telling can't hurt
nathan joined.
ronnie Joe, going back to what I asked you yesterday, about prices being more likely to go where they've been before
joeross Hi nathan
nathan Hi everyone
nathan Hi Mr. Sumo
joeross Let's go back, ronnie
crosten Joe I am sure you have met many traders, what personality traits do these traders have?
mikhail "Balls"
ronnie I noticed on the trading matrix that whatever price has had the most volume became almost like a magnet for the rest of the day
mikhail :)
sav joined.

joeross

 

crosten: I have no idea. Many have tried to identify what it is that makes for a successful trader. To the best of my knowledge, no one has ever figured it out.
sav Hi everyone
joeross ronnie: That is a good observation
mikhail You must have a genuine drive and passion for trading
joeross crosten: I mean I don't know
joeross Hi sav
mikhail What's a "trading matrix"?
ronnie In tradestation, its like a spreadsheet that you can trade off
ronnie It shows prices and how much volume each price has had
mikhail Shows volume at each price level?
mikhail Ah
mikhail meta-profile
crosten Joe you said that discipline is very important, but what can I practice to discipline myself?
joeross Mikhail: It is like the market profile owned by the CBOT
joeross And invented by Pete Steidlmayer
mikhail Yes, it's called meta-profile
mikhail Which is market-profile in real time
ronnie I've been using it more and more to determine the general area the market wants to be at
joeross crosten: You could try marshall arts
mikhail Ronnie, that's true on a normal non-trending day
ronnie Right
mikhail Ronnie, have you read "mind over market"?
ronnie And on trends just buy or sell corrections
ronnie No, I haven't read it.
mikhail Take a look
mikhail It's exactly what you are talking about
joeross crosten: You can go on our website and purchase "The Trading Mind"
ronnie Checking it right now
mikhail Joe, what % of the time do markets trend?

crosten

 

Are you serious Joe? I mean to discipline oneself when trading? Can you give me some tips? I have read your book but you did not mention how to develop discipline.
joeross mikhail: It is said they trend 15% of the time. I don't know how they prove that.
joeross crosten: Yes I did show you how to keep discipline: Keep the Life Index.
ronnie crosten, when I was in the military, they said there are just 4 types of discipline: refraining from food, sleep, %%%, and controlling pain...
SusanL joined.
estaros joined.
joeross Hi Susan, Estraros
estaros Hi
ronnie Don't markets trend almost 80 % of the time on tick charts
SusanL Hi Joe :)
crosten The life index is about happiness. Can you please give me some tips on how to discipline oneself? please
RicketyTin joined.
joeross crosten: You do not understand the Life Index if you think it is about happiness.
nathan Do you think foreign governments want to strengthen the dollar a bit?
joeross crosten: Why don't you try to discipline yourself to really use and understand the Life Index?
mikhail Crosten: start each day w/ a bucket of ice cold water first thing in the morning
mikhail :)
crosten Please Joe, some tips?
ronnie Go running at 4 in the morning crosten
joeross nathan: I think foreign governments don't know what to do about the dollar.
mikhail Trust me, it works like magic
nathan Why?
Stefanm joined.
joeross crosten: Read Marc Douglas' book "The Disciplined Trader"
Stefanm Hello
Stefanm Hello from Spain
joeross Hola Stefan
Stefanm Como estamos
ronnie Buenos dias
Stefanm Buenas

crosten

 

Joe: I have this problem, you mention that you either take profits quickly or slowly, I have no problem taking profits quickly, but taking profits slowly is a big problem for me.
mikhail Engles por favor
mikhail :)
RicketyTin Hasta La Vista Babe
nathan Why don´t they know what to do with the dollar?
joeross crosten: You can solve your problem easily. Take profits quickly.
murra joined.
ronnie Anyone see that trick entry short developing on the er2?
murra Hi Joe and all
Stefanm Yes i know the chat is in english but maybe there are some people who have questions
crosten I am always very uncomfortable in taking profits slowly?
Trader-A joined.
sav There was a good Rh on the 5min chart on er2 this morning (or afternoon in europe)
Stefanm Si alguien tiene una pregunta me la pone a mi y supongo Joe contesta con mucho gusto
crosten How do you take profits slowly, I am always worrying about taking profits slowly?

joeross

 

 

nathan: Because they have a tiger by the tail with regards to the U.S. If they dump the dollar, they lose their collective rear ends as the dollar goes down. But if they support the dollar by buying U.S. debt, or holding more dollars they are just adding to the pile of paper they have that is diminishing in value. They don't know whether to hang on or let go.
joeross Hi murra
joeross crosten: Quit worrying and just take profits quickly.
sav crosten: If you are trading multiple lots when in profit take the first one quickly than leave the rest to run or take them out slowly
Stefanm Joe how do you see the gold market?
sav Joe is gold liquid enough for daytrading?

crosten

 

Joe, the thing is, I have to develop a method whereby it requires me to take profit slowly, but it drives me mad to take profits slowly, what can I do Joe?
joeross Stefan: I see it rising over the long term but very bumpy ride with many corrections
joeross sav: Lately it is liquid enough
Stefanm You can trade the ZG at CBOT
joeross crosten: Abandon any method that is not comfortable for you. Get rid of it!
Stefanm Also the have live option trading
joeross Stefan: Yes you can trade Gold at the CBOT
joeross CBOT is now the preferred place to trade gold, in my opinion.
Stefanm The only drawback in the option market is that at this time you can't make spreads in options
Stefanm Yes
crosten Thanks Joe, but Joe the method does make money? Will you still trade a method that makes money even though it makes you uncomfortable?
Stefanm Because when I buy options I make it pit traded at Comex because of the spread possibility
Stefanm Long put, short call
joeross crosten: I will not trade anything that makes me uncomfortable.
Lutrade69 joined.
joeross Hi Lutrade
colbru joined.
joeross Hi colbru
Lutrade69 Hi everybody
Stefanm Hello
colbru Hello my first visit
crosten Will you consider an 80% probability method even though it makes you uncomfortable Joe?
joeross crosten: I will not trade any method that makes me uncomfortable.
crosten Thks joe
colbru I've come here because I've heard that Joe is going to talk about an 80% win rate in Munich
joeross colbru, don't make this your last visit, but I will be in Europe throughout May and the next chat will be May 31.
marsh crosten: What is the drawdown of your 80% method?
colbru I don't know yet if I want to join the seminar there
crosten Joe regarding your Sushi method, I don't get it , it has a 53% win, but you are still selling it, why Joe ?
colbru I live close to Munich
joeross colbru: I will be showing some good stuff in Munich. You will be welcome if you decide to come.
Stefanm so we gonna see us in Munich
colbru Joe I'd like to make my living in trading.... what is my required capital to make on average 5000$

joeross

 

crosten: Because the method makes money, that's why, crosten. You have an entirely wrong idea about methods. It is not the winning percentage that is important, it is the profit amount that really has meaning. If it makes money, I don't care if it wins only 25% of the time.
colbru 5000$ per month
joeross colbru: There is no way for me to tell. It depends on what you trade and how well you trade it.
crosten Joe: What food is recommend for traders, do you eat while trading?
Stefanm Spread trading would be the best or not?
Stefanm For small accounts
joeross crosten: I eat sometimes when I am trading, but not usually
joeross Stefan: Spread trading is very good for small accounts. Spread require very low margin and very little time to trade.
mikhail Colbru: this is just my thing, trade 1 contract per each $10K, and try to make around $500-1000/month of off each contract...
crosten Recommended trader food?

colbru

 

Lets assume I come to your seminar and then practice for a couple of months what you teach and then start trading forex or whatever you think is best with a capital of 100'000$ would it be possible?
joeross crosten: Sashimi ;)
sav Joe, out of your students who does the best, position traders, daytraders or spread traders?
crosten hehe
sav Or a combination of everything
joeross sav: So far the edge goes to the spread traders.
Stefanm Or option traders?
mikhail Colbru, I don't know about all the other stuff, but yes there is no reason why a good trader should not make 3-5%/month on equity
joeross Stefan: Option traders also do very well if they follow the way we indicate they should trade.
Stefanm Alan Parry
crosten For the corn and wheat market only , how many minutes will pass after the market open before you start trading Joe?
joeross Stefan: Alan wins 75% of his trades. He is very consistent
joeross crosten: I trade corn and wheat on the Open
joeross I do not wait in those two markets
Stefanm Yes i know but unfortunately most of the traders don't know option trading
zak2007 joined.
zak2007 Hi Joe and all
joeross Hi zak and Hi Trader-A
Stefanm Hi
sav I'm one of them
colbru Joe what is your answer to my question? please
crosten Is there a particular reason, Joe when compared to other markets where you wait?
zak2007 Joe do you still daytrade emini-sp500 with the method shown in "DAYTRADING"?
joeross colbru: Yes! with $100k it would be possible. If you do it well, you will make even more.
colbru And can you teach me that in that seminar
mikhail lol
mikhail :)
joeross zak: Sometimes I trade that way, but only if the e-mini snp is the best market to trade. Right now it isn't as good as the bonds.
joeross colbru: Yes, you will learn how to do it.
nathan Hi zak, are you trading overseas now?
joeross crosten: The grains generally open with a bang. I trade the bang! :)
Stefanm If you can't learn from Joe there is no other who can show it to you
crosten Joe how much money do you need to start trading options?
zak2007 Hi nathan. I trade eurostoxx
joeross crosten: As much money as you can get.
colbru mmhhh... and how big are the expected max drawdowns
crosten I mean what what is the minimum to get started to trade options?
joeross colbru: I can't give you that information here. I would have to look it up and there is not enough time.
zak2007 Joe, I have downloaded the 12 steps from AA to solve emotional problems. it's a hard thing to do!
joeross Hold on colbru and I will try to get it for you up-to-date
joeross Ok: Maximum closed out drawdown is: $5,156. Maximum Intraday drawdown is $5,219
joeross crosten: You need at least $5k
colbru Joe: but you will have some rough idea if it will be 30% or 20% or 10% if I'm always risking 1% of capital per trade
joeross zaK: Self-control is always difficult
crosten Joe on average how many trades does the profit popper generate on a monthly basis?
zak2007 But self-control is the only way to success
joeross colbru: I just gave you exact up-to-date figures.
colbru Joe: Your number calculated from 100k capital
joeross colbru: The numbers I gave are what you would actually experience regardless of your account size
quester123 joined.
joeross Colbru: If you are only willing to risk 1% of Capital, then you cannot trade the method I will be showing at the seminar
joeross Hi quester
quester123 hello Joe and all
Stefanm hello
joeross I cannot understand why people lock themselves into a percent of capital risk when they should let the market tell them how much to risk
colbru Joe you mean on a good looking entry you risk more?
joeross In all the time I have traded the method I will teach, I have never once had that much of a drawdown. In fact, never even half of that amount
crosten Joe on average how many trades does the profit popper generate on a monthly basis?
joeross colbru: I mean if you trade the way I will show you, you will never have a huge drawdown.
colbru mmhh sounds amazing
joeross crosten: I don't know off-hand, and I can't look it up now.
quester123 Joe how far is your wife away from finishing to proofread "trading is a business" now - weeks maybe?
joeross The problem with most traders is they try to trade mathematically and that is not the way I do it.
colbru Joe are you familiar with drummond geometry?
joeross colbru: I never risk more. I risk less.
joeross colbur: I don't care about anything that has to do with Mathematics
Stefanm Trade Execution and risk management
joeross I don't know what drummond geometry is and I don't care what it is. If you will learn to trade the way I do, you won't care about it either.
colbru But Joe you have to use some money management and that always means mathematics
joeross quester: Trading is a Business (revised/updated) is now at the printer. It will be ready as soon as they print it.
crosten Joe, I met this trader who told me that the hardest part about trading, is finding a reason not to trade? are these wise words Joe?
joeross colbru: You have a lot to learn. You better come to the seminar
joeross crosten: They are wise words for some but not all.
crosten Joe, how many methods will you teach at the seminar? And can you automate the methods?

murra

 

I can reinforce Joe about his teaching at the seminar and in his book. After studying you look at markets in a different way but the best is you know every time which decision to take and the best is you go out from the wrong trades immediately

joeross

 

crosten: I will teach whatever I teach. I will teach at least one method but usually more. It depends on the audience. If they can figure out a way to automate it, that is up to them. I don't automate anything.
colbru Joe you're saying money management involves no mathematics?
joeross colbru: I'm saying money management is a very small part of what I do. My emphasis is on trade management.
sav Joe, are your methods based on the law of charts?
joaohgomes joined.
joeross If you do proper trade management, you can relegate money management to a very tiny factor in your trading
joeross Hi Joao
joaohgomes Hi all, good evening from Brazil...
joaohgomes Hi Mr. Ross.

crosten

Joe, i know that you have tons of methods, is it true that the best methods is a method whereby you need a human to be there to trade the method?
joeross sav: Everything I do is based on the Law of Charts and the many way to implement that law
joaohgomes Hi Susan
joaohgomes JH from Brazil...

joeross

 

All: Please do not try to compare the way I trade with anything you ever learned from all the rotten books you have read and all the phony seminars you have attended. Virtually all that stuff is offered by guys who never traded or guys who failed at trading.

crosten

 

Joe what is the probability of trading Ross hook? and what time frame is good for trading Ross hook to achieve high probability -- higher time frame or smaller time frame?
joeross crosten: I prefer human intervention in any method.
ronnie 1 winner, 1 loser today... go for one more today Joe?
joeross crosten: There is no answer for your question.
crosten Why is that so Joe?
joeross crosten: It depends on who is trading the RH
joeross If I trade an RH, I win 80% of the time. I don't know about you.
joaohgomes Mr. Ross, the other night you said you don't believe in risking a fix % of your account. Can you talk more about it?
crosten Is trading the ross hook more than 70% from your experience Joe?
joeross joao: Yes I can talk more about it, but not in the next 3 minutes
joaohgomes hahaha
joaohgomes ok... sorry.

joeross

 

I can say only this much. Let the market tell you how much to risk. Do not setup some crazy amount that you pulled out of your head or from some mathematical calculation.
crosten Joe you win 80% trading ross hook which market is that?
joaohgomes ok.. tks. Now I got your point.

joeross

 

crosten: The percent I win is not related to a market or time frame. It is related only to the way I manage my trades. As I already told you, winning percentage has no meaning. What counts is whether or not you are making money from your trading.

joeross

 

 

Earlier colbru asked about 1%. Why? Where does such a silly number come from? The method I teach at the seminar shows a computer generated drawdown of over $5,000. But I have never had even a $1,000 drawdown trading the method. Why? Because I let the market show me where to put my stop.
crosten What time frame did you trade in this market where you achieve 80% prob?
joeross crosten: Any and all markets
nathan Thanks Joe and bye
colbru Joe if I buy your Ross Hook book a can have a hit rate of 80%?
joeross If I trade an Rh. I will win with it 80% of the time, regardless of market or time frame
joaohgomes I see Mr. Ross.

murra

 

When we trade a market we must know how many we need for that market and this is an important question for the trade diversely we can't take the trade as like I would a ferrari but i don't have the money is it right Joe?
joeross colbru: I cannot guarantee you will win anything if you buy my Ross Hook book.
joeross murra: You are right. Yes. You learned well at the seminar.
murra The stop must be right for every trade if not we can lose is better not entry is not in accordance with our parameters
joaohgomes Yeap... give two people the same system, they don't get the same results

colbru

 

How much you win in that 80% 100$ per trade and in the loosing 20% trades you lose 800$ per trade ??? you understand what i mean anyone can have a 80% win rate
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joaohgomes One, can make money, while the other lose money.
joeross colbru: That is correct. The bottom line is whether or not you make money.

joeross

 

colbru: If you want some kind of guarantee about trading you should buy an insurance policy. Anyone who has to have a guarantee has no business trading.
colbru I'm not asking about a guarantee I'm only saying that a win rate means nothing
murra colbru: it depends how you are willing to learn and in this you must include respect for the rule (excuse me Joe?

joeross

 

colbru: You are absolutely right. A win rate means nothing. The only thing that counts is are you making money. If you know that, why do you keep asking me if you will win 80% of the time?
ronnie left.
quester123 Joe when placing limit orders and the market trades at that price but not through it. Is it the first come first served?
joeross All: If you come to see us in Ravenna, Italy or in Munich, Germany, I am happy to meet you there.
joeross Next euro chat will be Thursday, May 31.
zak2007 Bye joe and all
joeross quester: It is first in -- first out, by size
murra See you Joe and all
joeross quester: The bigger you are the more likely to be filled at the limit
crosten Joe I have a method whereby if the method loses 2 time in a row, it usually wins the 3 rd time, is it wise to trade more the 3rd time ?
joeross joao: Ask your question in the forum where I will have time to answer it.
joeross The one about risk %
crosten ...I mean increase lot size?
joaohgomes Ok, Mr Ross.
SusanL Hey Joah, I didn't get to say hi yet
joeross crosten; If you are comfortable using a Monte Carlo method it's ok. But I'm not sure you will like it
SusanL Hope you are doing fine over there in Brazil
joeross crosten: what if you lose 11 times in a row?
joaohgomes yeap... I'm fine here in Brazil.
joaohgomes thks
joeross Bye all. I am going out to work in my garden.
quester123 Ah thanks Joe is there any way to increase the odds of getting filled even though the price only trades at the order?
murra good night all
joeross quester: There is a company that says they can get you filled more often at the limit. I will try to research who they are.
joeross I have to plant my peas and zucchini and cucumbers
joeross See you on 31 May.
crosten It will kill me Joe, but so far i have never lost 11 time in a row
marsh bye Joe, thanks. I hope you have a good trip.
joaohgomes Nice therapy Mr. Ross
joaohgomes bye to you all...
RicketyTin Bye Joe - good gardening!
joaohgomes Susan, bye.
joeross Ciao, Tschüß, Hasta Luego,

END OF CHAT

Next Chat with Joe Ross:
Thursday, May 31
, 2007
Time: 8:00 - 9:00 P.M., European Central Time (Berlin, Paris, Rome)


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