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​The Intuitive Mind

Have you ever seen a pattern emerge, and you instinctively trusted your gut instinct even though your logical mind told you otherwise? Sometimes it works, but other times your intuition may fail you. Scientists are fascinated by how people use intuition. There's something intriguing and mystical about it. Intuition helps us make quick and rapid decisions without full conscious awareness, but sometimes it's wrong.

Trading is a matter of probabilities. We find a method that has a statistical edge and use that method over and over so that the law of averages will work in our favor. But there are times when we forget about probabilities and go with our gut instinct. Our intuition is often influenced by emotions.

Intuition is powerful, but it's vital to learn to overcome your intuition when you suspect that it may lead you astray.

Experienced traders rely on their intuition to make winning trades by quickly and efficiently capitalizing on the market action, but if you're a novice trader, your intuitive skills are probably not yet developed. Whether you are trying to identify the emergence of a pattern with technical analysis or trying to read the tape using price and volume, your intuitive skills may lead you astray. Intuitively, you may think the price will move in a particular direction, and your emotions may want it to, but it doesn't happen.

As you gather a wealth of experience, your intuitive skills will develop, but until then, it's wise to be a little skeptical. Don't unnecessarily stand aside or lose confidence. Continue to make trades, but don't risk too much on a given trade. If you ignore your risk management rules as a novice trader, you'll take big hits to your account. Your skills are not yet developed, and until they are, managing risk allows you to survive the learning curve. Mastering the markets takes time and experience. Eventually, you'll develop the intuitive skills to trade quickly and decisively, but until then, stay cautious and disciplined.


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Saturday, 22 February 2025

Derivative transactions, including futures, are complex and carry a high degree of risk. They are intended for sophisticated investors and are not suitable for everyone. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results, and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. For more information, see the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options.