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Trading General

Trading General

Joe Ross
Nov
07

False Consensus Part 2

False Consensus Part 2
​Jim own a Hog farm. He produces 1,000 hogs per month to take to market, so he runs a fair-sized hog operation.Jim grows corn and soybeans for feed. He grinds his own beans into meal, and has silos for storage of both the corn and the beans.In years where the crop of the best quality, Jim stores as much of his crop as possible. If the crop is of lesser quality, he sells his crop in the open market...
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Andy Jordan
Nov
01

Self Control

Self Control
To become a truly successful trader you must become a truly committed trader. How do you get yourself to be in control?Statistics and society may predict, but you alone determine whether you will succeed or fail. You alone are in control. You alone must take responsibility for your performance and your life. There are always tremendous opportunities in the markets. It is not what happens; it is wh...
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Joe Ross
Nov
01

False Consensus Part 1

False Consensus Part 1
​Traders and investors try to understand their world. They make hypotheses and test them. Rather than conducting formal experiments, however, they use their everyday experience to test out theories they have about the markets. We study the markets and try to develop our own personal theories about how the markets work. Because we don't conduct formal experiments, we may fall prey to psychological ...
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Joe Ross
Oct
23

Ready for Action

Ready for Action
​In 1981, when I first started day trading, I would get to bed early night, wake up early, and be excited about starting the trading day. I remember on time when it was a cool, sunny day, and I really felt rejuvenated. After a quick exercise session, I couldn't wait for the markets to open, so I could make a few winning trades. I was really hyped."Today is my lucky day. Today I'm going to make a m...
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Andy Jordan
Oct
23

Repetitive Mistakes

Repetitive Mistakes
​Anyone is allowed to make one mistake. When the same mistake is repeated a second time, caution should be noted. The third repetition of the same mistake constitutes self-destructive habitual behavior that must be reversed. All trading must stop immediately until the trader's self-discipline is thoroughly examined. Once the reason for the repetitive mistakes is understood, usually fear, anger or ...
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Joe Ross
Oct
17

Making a Comeback

Making a Comeback
​Have you ever had a bad day when nothing seemed to go right? First, you got up late. Second, your computer wouldn't boot up, and third, when it did, you couldn't seem to get in and out at the right time when executing even the most basic trade. What really upset you was when your Data line went down for 10 minutes during a critical moment in your trading plan. Traders face setback after setback, ...
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Joe Ross
Oct
10

Intuition

Intuition
​If only humans were more like machines. In theory, the ultimate trader would act like a robot, analyzing market data with unfailing accuracy, devising a trading plan, and executing it without flaw. But does trading work that way? Trading is more art than science. Without an intuitive grasp of the markets, it's difficult to successfully trade the markets using short-term trading strategies.Humans ...
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Joe Ross
Oct
04

Your Own Worst Enemy

Your Own Worst Enemy
​Do you ever wonder if you secretly want to fail? It's hard to believe, but some people do want to fail. They may not want to do better than their parents, and secretly, they set themselves up for failure. Others fear success. They associate success with added responsibility, and they want to avoid responsibility at all costs. But if you're like most people, you want to succeed. For whatever reaso...
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Andy Jordan
Oct
03

Spreading Against a Related Contract

Spreading Against a Related Contract
​In this instance, you spread by taking an opposite position in a related contract. You might spread corn against wheat. You might spread heating oil against unleaded gasoline. Quite often, operators who trade large size and are market makers hedge the S&P 500 by taking an opposite position in the Nasdaq or the Dow.Soybean traders often hedge by spreading off against the meal, the oil, or both...
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Joe Ross
Sep
26

Be Aware

Be Aware
​Beginning traders may make trade after trade and watch their account balance dwindle with each trade. They may feel unintelligent and thoughtless and think, "Why am I making so many losing trades?" At times they may wonder if they are thoroughly incompetent. But it's all a matter of perspective. If you aren't trading profitably, it isn't because you can't. It isn't because you have bad luck. It i...
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Andy Jordan
Sep
26

Accurate Records

Accurate Records
As a trader, it's very important that you keep accurate records of all factors that may impact the outcome of your trades so that you can learn from your losses, improve your performance, and do better next time. From a psychological viewpoint, by documenting actions, thoughts and emotions associated with both wins and losses, you will come to see what works and what doesn't. When it comes to loss...
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Andy Jordan
Sep
19

Your Role in the Market

Your Role in the Market
​Our past experience is a factor coloring the way we see things. We get an electric shock, and we decide never again to put a hairpin into an electrical outlet. Or, when we kiss our mate and receive a kiss back, we learn that kissing that person produces pleasure, so we enjoy doing it again! Likewise, our experience with the markets, colors our perception, and can influence the way we approach the...
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Joe Ross
Sep
19

Graceful Trading

Graceful Trading
​Whether you're a novice or seasoned trader, there are days when you face setback after setback: Adverse events go against you. You make a trading error. You misread the markets. The possible setbacks can be endless, and it hurts a little to watch your account balance take a hit when one of them catches you off guard. But whatever roadblocks get in your way, you have to take them in stride.How can...
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Joe Ross
Sep
12

Setbacks

Setbacks
​Are you experiencing an emotional roller coaster, euphorically celebrating wins, but facing despair when losses mount? If you are, you may be taking things a little too personally. If you want to trade like a winner, you need to take responsibility for your actions, taking every precaution possible to neutralize adverse events and to control risk. That said, when things go wrong, it may not alway...
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Andy Jordan
Sep
05

Getting in Step with the Market

Getting in Step with the Market
​Early in the trading day, as part of your daily preparation (you do have a daily preparation, don't you?) it's helpful to practice a little to get a "feel" for what you might do and how you might trade. One way to do it is to make a few small trades, using just a small percent of your normal trading size. Putting on a small position usually helps you focus. Once you've entered the market, see how...
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Joe Ross
Sep
05

Be Flexible

Be Flexible
​As traders in the markets, it's informative to study everyday examples of mass psychology. Although humans are highly intelligent, they can act like cattle blindly following the leader of the pack to the slaughterhouse. For example, have you ever observed how people drive in busy rush hour traffic? On a crowded freeway, it's common to see people refuse to acknowledge that the flow of traffic has ...
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Joe Ross
Aug
29

Emotions

Emotions
​Winning traders are extremely disciplined. They wisely study the markets, devise a trading plan, and follow it. They control their impulse to abandon their plans prematurely, and they don't allow emotions, such as fear and greed, to influence their trading decisions. In the trading profession, emotions often get a bad rap, however. There are critical moments of investing when it's vital to contro...
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Recent Comments
Guest — Gary Dear
Joe, good morning, and thanks very much for your article entitled "Emotions". ... Gary Dear
Friday, 30 August 2019 08:13
Denise Ross
Gary - Joe asked me to post a reply as he is unable to at this time: "Hi Gary, It’s been a while since we heard from you. It’s r... Read More
Sunday, 01 September 2019 18:47
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Andy Jordan
Aug
22

Successful Trading

Successful Trading
​Because we don't know what "successful" means to every individual, we should divide traders into different groups. I think most traders can be found in one of the following groups:Group One - these are mainly traders new in the trading business. They have read a book or two and they find trading very interesting, but they still don't know where to start.Group Two - these are the traders who alrea...
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Guest — fr
HELLO ANDY. aRE THOSE COUNTING PERCETAGE TOGETHER CORRECT? 75+25+ 10+2=112%
Friday, 23 August 2019 09:34
Andy Jordan
Yes, because you can not count them together. 25% are trading break-even or better. The 10% and 2% fall also under the 25% (or bet... Read More
Friday, 23 August 2019 10:19
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Joe Ross
Aug
22

Regrets

Regrets
​Fear and greed drive market action. We enthusiastically put on trades when we think a huge profit is assured, but when we see the market shift dramatically, we get out as quickly as possible. We fear being trampled by the masses as they all rush to sell. Fear and greed are powerful emotions that underlie the actions of the masses, but behavioral economists argue that regret is equally powerful. R...
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Joe Ross
Aug
15

Stress Errors

Stress Errors
Have you ever been so excited about a trade that you couldn't sleep at night? Or perhaps you are trying to dig yourself out of a hole and worry has taken a toll. Studies of disasters, ranging from major environmental catastrophes to minor laboratory accidents, happen when people are under extreme stress or experience physical exhaustion. When people are tired, there's an increased risk of disaster...
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Derivative transactions, including futures, are complex and carry a high degree of risk. They are intended for sophisticated investors and are not suitable for everyone. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results, and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. For more information, see the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options.