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Apr
21

Where's EUR/USD going?

Where's EUR/USD going?

There seems to be a massive obsession out there among traders about the EUR/USD, what's going on with it, where it's going and why. Whenever I go on twitter or Facebook or any of the financial news pages, I find at least a couple of posts on what's going on in that market, usually with some bogus comment on why. Classic one would be "EUR/USD moves higher after breaking through 1.1350" or "EUR/USD ...

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  2937 Hits
Apr
20

New Q&A video online

I just uploaded the second Episode of my Q&A Series to YouTube. I only managed to answer two questions this time, so I probably should be a bit briefer in the future... Topics are again disciplined trading and the lifetime of trading methods and how to decide when to stop trading them. Enjoy!

  1849 Hits
Apr
19

Fear

Let’s get one thing straight. Fear, for the majority of traders is a very real thing. You have it, I have it. Others have it as well. In order to become a professional trader, you must learn to deal with fear. The first step is to acknowledge that you have fear. Once you admit to fear, you can begin to deal with it. When you notice the impulse to trade based on strong fear, it is usually best to l...

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  3446 Hits
Apr
18

Everybody gets what they want out of the market

This is one of the quotes about trading that stuck with me. I googled it and it's from Ed Seykota, I probably read it in one of the Market Wizards books, which I can highly recommend. The exact quote is “Win or lose, everybody gets what they want out of the market. Some people seem to like to lose, so they win by losing money.” Now this applies especially well to the retail world of traders. And i...

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  2731 Hits
Apr
14

Checklist, Trading Plan, Track Record

“I review my checklist. It’s a handwritten sheet laminated in plastic and taped to the right-hand corner of my desk where I can’t overlook it. If you have a game plan prepared ahead of time, it can help you find courage in the heat of the battle.” - Marty Schwartz Yes, I also have a checklist and I look at it every day. On my checklist you can find reminders like “trade only clear signals, no gues...

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  3572 Hits
Apr
13

New YouTube Series: Marco's Trading Q&A

Hi Trader, now this has been a quite volatile week so far in many markets and I hope you've also been able to capture some nice profits out of these wild moves! Thanks to my trading being almost completely systematic right now I still had a few minutes to record a new video for YouTube and actually start of a new Series. In the first one I explain what a BID/ASK spread is for those of you who're c...

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  2792 Hits
Apr
12

Predicting the Markets

“Michael Marcus taught me one other thing that is absolutely critical: You have to be willing to make mistakes regularly; there is nothing wrong with it. Michael taught me about making your best judgment, being wrong, making your next best judgment, being wrong, making your third best judgment, and then doubling your money.” – Bruce Kovner This is an immense important quote from Bruce Kovner. This...

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  2864 Hits
Apr
11

Recommended time frames

Today, I've received the following question: I assume the Ross Hook (RH) and Traders Trick Entry (TTE) are applicable in whatever time frame the trader uses. However, there are some time frames that are simply too erratic or wild to trade. And pertaining to stop running, there must be some that are favorites of those attempting to do so. So is there a recommended time interval from which to trade,...

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  2751 Hits
Apr
09

Time to sell the JPY?

Hi Traders, after a much needed vacation I'm back from the hills where I could hike long enough to get all relaxed and clear headed again! Now back to the markets, when it comes to currencies, everyone is talking about the Yen these days, especially against the USD (USD/JPY). And yes the USD/JPY dropped quite significantly during the last two weeks, but for the Yen this isn't that unusual. Still i...

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  2637 Hits
Apr
07

Stop Management

Richard Wyckoff wrote: “My stop was moved down so there couldn't be a loss, and soon a slight rally and another break gave me a new stop, which insured a profit, come what might… I strongly advocate this method of profit insuring. The scientific elimination of loss is one of the most important factors in the art, and the operator who fails to properly protect his paper profits will find that many ...

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  2863 Hits
Apr
05

Minimum Risk Points

Richard Wyckoff wrote in his book "Studies in tape reading": Successful tape reading requires ability to judge which side has the greatest pulling power and one must have the courage to go with that side. There are critical points which occur in each swing, just as in life of a business or of an individual. At these junctures it seems as though a feather's weight on either side would determine the...

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  2577 Hits
Mar
31

Trading Enhancements – Meditation

As a professional trader, I try to enhance my trading on a daily basis. Learning how to trade is an ongoing process - a process that never stops. Those who know me or who have traded with me know that I am always looking for a simple and straightforward approach to trading. Yes, of course I am testing indicators, new chart patterns, new charting techniques, and anything else that is showing up on ...

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  2539 Hits
Mar
28

The more I know, the less I know, and the more I become confused.

People have the tendency to believe that the accuracy of forecasting the markets increases with more information. This is the illusion of knowledge – that more information increases your knowledge about something and improves your decisions. However, this is not always the case – increased levels of information do not necessarily lead to greater knowledge. There are three reasons for t...

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  2460 Hits
Mar
24

Will the EUR/USD finally make it above todays highs?

I hope so since thanks to Ambush we're short the USD across the board today. Entry in the Euro FX Future for example was at 1.11825 around the low of the day. 

  2020 Hits
Mar
24

Trend Following is still not dead: Part I

Just posted a new video on our youtube channel about Trend Following. I decided to look into this in depth a few months ago and these are my conclusions from a traders perspective. Enjoy!

  2841 Hits
Mar
22

Looking for new futures markets to trade? Alternatives to the TF? Check out Eurex!

With the ICE rising their market data fees to $117 per month, many traders are thinking about alternatives to trading the Russell 2000 (TF) for example. Sure, it's just 12 ticks in the TF you might say, but that doesn't make it better...any additional trading costs you can save, you want to save! Regarding the Russell 2000 (TF) you might want to have a look at the EMD traded at Globex. Yes it has ...

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  2376 Hits
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Mar
21

Trading from the Beach

Because of the short week ahead of us, I've decided to head for the beach for a few days (until Sunday). Of course, I will take my "trading stuff" with me (Laptop, Smartphone) to watch and manage my open trading positions. When I travel, I usually don't put on any new trades (and I definitely don't day trade or swing trade) but with today's technic it is an easy task to keep an eye...

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  3274 Hits
Mar
17

Next in the EUR/USD and new video on why you should ignore my calls

After my last two spot-on calls on the EUR/USD, here's the next one, plus a video on why you shouldn't pay any attention to it: My feeling is that since everyone expects the EUR/USD to correct right now, it won't but will instead move up for another day or two. Again I won't trade on this, actually I'll probably be short again tomorrow... And here's the video why you shouldn't care about any marke...

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  2050 Hits
Mar
15

How do I become flexible in trading?

One mark of a flexible trader is he/she has a carefree attitude when it comes to executing a trade. They don’t allow themselves to get bent out of shape over a trade. They don't sit and think over and over about their strategy. They have done their homework. They’ve developed a sensible trading plan, and when the opportunities present themselves, they pull the trigger on the trade....

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  3624 Hits
Mar
14

EUR/USD moving towards support area

This is a quick follow-up to my last post about the strong move we've seen post-ECB last week. As expected the Euro is now pulling back, coming close towards a possible strong support area. So you might want to keep an eye on this market around 1.0975-1.1050 for a short- to medium term bounce. PS: As a systematic trader I won't take a trade based on my opinion and a few lines in a chart. But ...

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  2162 Hits

Derivative transactions, including futures, are complex and carry a high degree of risk. They are intended for sophisticated investors and are not suitable for everyone. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results, and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. For more information, see the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options.